How This Simulator Works
- 1. Select your team from the dropdown to load their remaining schedule
- 2. Adjust difficulty sliders for each opponent (Easy = 75% win, Medium = 50%, Hard = 25%)
- 3. View real-time calculations for expected wins, total projected record, and strength ranking
- 4. See playoff impact based on your simulated final record and conference standings
Loading schedule data...
Team Current Season
Quick Presets
Remaining Schedule - Adjust Difficulty
Slide left for easier matchup (75% win chance), middle for toss-up (50%), right for tough game (25%)
Simulation Results
Playoff Impact Assessment
Adjust opponent difficulty to see playoff chances
Understanding Schedule Strength
The NFL schedule difficulty simulator helps you understand how your team's remaining opponents impact playoff chances. Strength of schedule is a crucial factor in determining which teams make the postseason.
How We Calculate Difficulty
- Easy Matchup (75% Win Probability): Games against teams with losing records or significant talent gaps
- Medium Matchup (50% Win Probability): Evenly matched games where either team could win
- Hard Matchup (25% Win Probability): Games against playoff contenders or division leaders
Strength of Schedule Rankings
Teams are ranked from 1 (hardest schedule) to 32 (easiest schedule) based on the average difficulty of remaining opponents. A harder schedule means lower expected wins but potentially higher quality victories.
Playoff Impact
Our simulator estimates playoff probability based on projected final records. Generally, 10+ wins gives strong playoff chances, 9 wins is borderline, and 8 or fewer wins makes playoffs unlikely in most cases.
Historical Schedule Strength Context
Easiest Remaining Schedules (2024)
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1. Chicago Bears
.410 SOS
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2. Green Bay Packers
.425 SOS
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3. Detroit Lions
.438 SOS
Hardest Remaining Schedules (2024)
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1. Las Vegas Raiders
.625 SOS
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2. Arizona Cardinals
.612 SOS
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3. Tennessee Titans
.598 SOS