Archive: week 16 Historical Data
You're viewing historical survivor picks from week 16 (September 2025). This data is for reference only.
View Current Week PicksNFL Survivor Picks week 16 2025
Expert NFL survivor picks for week 16 with live odds, win probabilities, and strategic tier rankings. Updated daily with top picks and teams to avoid.
95%
Pool Still Alive
week 16
Current Week
3 Tiers
Strategic Options
Live
Odds Updated Daily
Top 3 Survivor Picks week 16
Consensus vs Our Model
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Picks to Avoid week 16
These teams have low win probability (<65%) or unfavorable matchups. Consider saving better options for this week.
week 16 Complete Matchup Chart
| Team | Opponent | Moneyline | Win % | Tier |
|---|
Live Odds Analysis & Expert Insights
Top Survivor Pick of the Week
Key Matchup Breakdown
Current Betting Lines & Win Probabilities
Strategic Recommendations for Week 16
Teams to Avoid This Week
Survivor Pool Strategy Resources
Long-Term Strategy
Success in NFL survivor pools requires balancing short-term safety with long-term planning. While it's tempting to use elite teams early, consider matchup difficulty across the entire season.
- Save elite teams for difficult weeks
- Track your pool's remaining participants
- Consider public ownership percentages
- Plan 3-4 weeks ahead when possible
Understanding Pool Dynamics
Your strategy should adapt based on how many participants remain alive. Early weeks favor safety, while late-season play may require calculated risks.
- Large pools (80%+ alive): Play safe picks
- Medium pools (40-80% alive): Balanced approach
- Small pools (<40% alive): Consider contrarian picks
- Final weeks: Differentiate to win tiebreakers
Understanding Our Tier System
Safe Picks
Teams with 75%+ win probability. These are the safest survivor picks with strong matchups and favorable odds.
Balanced Picks
Teams with 68-75% win probability. Solid picks that balance safety with future team preservation.
Contrarian Picks
Teams with 65-68% win probability. Riskier picks that can differentiate you from the field in smaller pools.
Frequently Asked Questions
How often are the odds updated?
Our survivor picks are updated daily using live NFL betting odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Should I always pick the highest win probability team?
Not necessarily. Consider future weeks, pool size, and public ownership.
What's the difference between safe, balanced, and contrarian picks?
Safe = 75%+, Balanced = 68-75%, Contrarian = 65-68%.
When should I consider a contrarian pick?
Late season, small pools, or when you need differentiation.