Anytime Touchdown Scorer Betting: Complete 2026 Guide
Master proven strategies, statistical analysis, and bankroll management to turn NFL touchdown props into consistent profits.
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Quick Stats: Why Anytime TD Betting Works
Bottom Line: Anytime TD betting offers 3x higher hit rates than first TD bets with consistent payouts. Elite RB1s with 40%+ red zone touch share hit at 35-42% rates—making them profitable at odds of +180 or better.
What Is Anytime Touchdown Scorer Betting?
Anytime touchdown scorer betting is the most popular NFL player prop. Unlike first touchdown scorer bets, your player just needs to score at any point during the game. This creates a 3-4x higher hit rate (25-35% vs. 8-12%) and makes it ideal for most bettors.
How It Works
Example: You bet $100 on Travis Kelce anytime TD at -110. In Q3, Kelce scores an 8-yard TD. You win $90.91 profit—it doesn't matter when or how many times he scores.
What Counts
- ✓ Rushing touchdowns
- ✓ Receiving touchdowns
- ✓ Overtime touchdowns
What Doesn't Count
- ✗ Two-point conversions
- ✗ Defensive/special teams TDs
- ✗ Player inactive (bet voids)
First TD vs Anytime TD: Which Should You Bet?
The key difference: first TD requires perfect timing, anytime TD just needs a score. Here's the breakdown for smart betting decisions.
| Factor | First TD | Anytime TD | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit Rate (Elite RBs) | 8-12% | 30-40% | Anytime |
| Typical Odds | +600 to +1200 | -150 to +200 | First TD |
| Variance | Very High | Moderate | Anytime |
| Beginner Friendly | No | Yes | Anytime |
The Math
McCaffrey at -150 (60% implied) with 65% actual TD rate = +8.3% ROI. Same player at +700 first TD (12.5% implied) with 11% actual rate = -12% ROI. Anytime TD wins long-term.
Today's NFL Games & Live Anytime TD Odds
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View NFL OddsBest Player Types for Anytime TD Betting
Target players with high red zone usage, goal line opportunities, and consistent offensive roles.
Tier 1: Elite Workhorse RBs
Players: Christian McCaffrey, Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley
Hit Rate: 35-45% | Odds: -150 to +110
Why They Win:
40-55% red zone touch share, 70%+ goal line carries, 25+ touches per game
Tier 2: Elite WRs & Dual-Threat QBs
Players: Tyreek Hill, CeeDee Lamb, Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts
Hit Rate: 25-35% | Odds: +100 to +180
5 Proven Strategies for Success
1 Line Shopping
Odds vary 20-40 points between books. Always check 3-4 sportsbooks. This adds 8-12% to your ROI annually. Use our Odds Comparison Tool.
2 Target High Totals
Games with O/U 48+ produce 5.2 TDs on average. Elite players hit at 41-45% rates vs. 28-32% in low-scoring games.
3 Exploit Injury News
When RB1 is ruled out 90 minutes before kickoff, backup odds lag by 5-10 minutes. Follow beat reporters on X for instant alerts.
4 Weather Pivots
15+ mph winds or heavy rain shifts TD distribution to RBs. Fade WRs, hammer ground game options.
5 Track Closing Line Value
Bettors who beat closing lines by 5-10 cents are profitable long-term. Log every bet in a spreadsheet to track CLV.
Bankroll Management
The Unit System
Use 1 unit = 1% of bankroll. Bet 4-5 units on elite confidence plays, 3-4 on standard value, 1-2 on speculative longshots.
Never chase losses. Even 40% hit rate players go 0-for-8 multiple times per season. Trust your process over 100+ bets.
Anytime TD Parlays & Same Game Parlays
When Parlays Work
- ✓ High-scoring games (O/U 52+) + both RB1s
- ✓ SGP correlation: Team Total Over + their TD scorer
- ✓ Small stakes entertainment ($5-10)
Avoid Parlays When
- ✗ Parlaying core bankroll bets
- ✗ 5+ legs "lottery tickets"
- ✗ Chasing losses
Golden Rule: Limit parlays to 25% of TD betting volume. The vig compounds and variance explodes. See our Parlay Strategy Guide.
Payout Calculator
Calculate your potential winnings instantly.
Profit:
$150
Total Payout:
$250
Implied Probability:
40%
FAQ
What's the difference between anytime TD and first TD?
Anytime TD: Player scores at any point (25-40% hit rate, -150 to +200 odds). First TD: Must score first in the game (8-12% hit rate, +600 to +1500 odds). Anytime is safer for steady profits.
Do I win more if my player scores multiple TDs?
No. You receive the same payout whether they score 1 or 3 TDs. Some books offer "2+ TDs" as separate props at higher odds.
Which position has the highest TD scoring rate?
Elite RB1s (35-45% rate) dominate because they get both rushing AND receiving opportunities. Top WRs hit 25-35%, TEs 18-25%, mobile QBs 15-30%.
Can I bet anytime TD during the game?
Yes! Markets stay open until late 4th quarter. Sharp bettors exploit slow-adjusting live lines after injuries or usage surges.
Start Winning With Anytime TD Betting
You now have the complete playbook: disciplined player selection (35%+ red zone share), aggressive line shopping (adds 10-15% ROI), and strict bankroll limits (3-5% max per bet).